Market view & timing

What to make of the market right now

Last reviewed: October 2026

This month's market

Rates held, mortgages up

The UK property market in October 2026

Updated 15 October 2026

5.98% Up

the average 2-year fixed mortgage rate

Bank Rate 3.75% Unchanged since December
Mortgage rates About 1 point Higher than 6 months ago, while Bank Rate held

Sources: Bank of England; Moneyfacts average 2-year fixed rate, 5 October 2026; The Property Podcast

Flat
0.8% annual house price growth Nationwide and Zoopla agree. Lloyds (formerly Halifax) has prices flat at 0.0%, after August's first annual fall since 2023 Sources: Nationwide, Zoopla, Lloyds house price indices
Flat
3.75% Bank Rate, held again A 6th hold in a row, unchanged since December. 6 votes to hold, 3 to raise. Next decision 5 November Source: Bank of England
Down
54,000 mortgage approvals For house purchases in August, the fewest in a month since December 2023. September figures due 29 October Source: Bank of England
Up
40% rise in remortgage searches In a single month, as borrowers rush to lock in a rate Source: Mortgage Solutions
Up
21% of remortgagers considered a tracker Up from 14% in July. Not everyone expects rates to rise Source: Moneyfacts
Up
40.7 housebuilding activity Up from 37.6 in August, yet still the weakest part of construction. Anything under 50 means activity is shrinking Source: S&P Global UK Construction PMI, September
80%
of letting agents say landlords are more cautious about which tenants they take on since the Renters' Rights Act Phase 2, the landlord database, starts in December. Source: The Lettings Hub

How the Renters' Rights Act is playing out

+50% guarantor applications
95% of letting agents have no confidence in the courts
£65 per property to join the landlord database
Dec West Midlands registers first

Sources: The Lettings Hub (landlord survey); database rollout and fee as discussed on The Property Podcast

"If you're in it for the long term, it doesn't much matter if house prices do nothing for a year. If you're buying, your yields are getting better."
Rob D, The Property Podcast

Dates to watch

28 Oct Budget
5 Nov Bank of England decision
Dec Landlord database opens in the West Midlands
Mar 2027 Short-let register fully live
Nov 2027 Every region on the landlord database

October in full

Bank Rate has sat at 3.75% since December, and somehow your mortgage costs more. Here's what mattered this month.

  • Mortgages are dearer, even though rates haven't moved. Markets are pricing in 4 or 5 rises, so fixed rates are up about a point. Approvals are at their lowest since December 2023, and the Bank would rather cut.
  • Prices are flat. Nationwide and Zoopla say they're up 0.8%, Lloyds says 0.0%. Dull for estate agents, but yields are improving if you're buying.
  • Renters' Rights Phase 2 starts in December. The landlord database opens in the West Midlands first. At £65 a property it's another annoying bit of admin, and that's about it.
  • Politicians are making promises. The Tories would scrap stamp duty, the Greens want a 2% rent cap, and Angela Rayner admits there's a "slim chance" of Labour hitting its 1.5 million new home target.

For once, landlords aren't the villain. Not a bad time to stick to a long-term plan.

Want the full conversation?

Rob and Rob talk through every number on this page in The Property Podcast's monthly market update.

Market Update: October 2026 The Property Podcast on YouTube

Sources: Bank of England, Nationwide, Zoopla, Lloyds, Mortgage Solutions, Moneyfacts, S&P Global, The Lettings Hub. This page is for information only and isn't financial advice.

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